Climate change simulation and impacts on extreme events of rainfall and storm water in the Zayandeh Rud Catchment

نویسندگان

چکیده

Nowadays, one of the most significant problems is that to recognize how severity heavy precipitation and floods may alter in future time comparison with current period. The purpose this research understand impact climate change on storm water probability maximum flood for Zayandeh rud river basin Iran selected as a case study. Forecast climatic parameters based temperature upcoming period (2006-2040) completed using HadCM3 model RCP 2.6, 4.5, 8.5 emission patterns. Also, downscaled statistically applying LARS-WG. In next step, probable measured through synoptic method then, order under effects, HEC-HMS simulating rainfall-runoff used. Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) applied snow melting. results indicate 2006-2040 scenario can rise by 5% scenarios 4.5 decrease 10%, respectively 1970-2005.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Resources environment and information engineering

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2661-3131']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.25082/reie.2021.01.001